I'm really curious about what a practical transition to universal basic income (UBI) would entail. With the rapid advancement of AI replacing many jobs, both white-collar and blue-collar, it seems critical to discuss this in a realistic way. My thoughts are that introducing UBI without a clear plan could lead to issues, especially with job incentives. For instance, if we were to roll out a UBI of $70,000 a year in the midst of such transitions, would anyone still feel compelled to work? I think a better approach might be to offer a monthly payment to those who work at least 16 hours a week, encouraging part-time jobs instead of full-time, which would push companies to hire more part-time workers. I'm also interested in incorporating benefits for stay-at-home caregivers to address both employment and population issues. What are your thoughts on this approach, and what steps do you envision governments taking to facilitate a successful transition to UBI?
5 Answers
Honestly, UBI feels like a fantasy. Political will seems non-existent, especially given how people prioritize tax breaks for the wealthy over helping the working class. After the panic during COVID, I doubt there'll be enough momentum to push UBI until things hit rock bottom, leading to widespread poverty and chaos.
Instead of aiming for UBI, we should push for some sort of Universal Basic Resources (UBR). People are often not responsible enough with money. If we managed resources better, we could support communities sustainably. Just look at how addiction to convenience is steering us toward collective ruin. Giving people money isn’t the answer; we need a collective effort to reform society's structure.
The transition to UBI is going to be rougher than we think. Societal change often follows major upheaval, and the working class has been crushed for a long time. The initial chaos might come from widespread unrest before any UBI bill is passed, especially as we witness a dramatic redistribution of wealth from poor to rich. Expect burning streets before any real action is taken by lawmakers.
I think the best route to UBI requires gradual changes. Start small with a limited basic income while developing better systems to support people who can't find work due to AI. Over time, we can adjust and expand. But it's going to be a long and complicated process, with many potential challenges along the way.
Honestly, I fear AI-induced unemployment could turn into a national security crisis. Governments probably know this and may have a plan, but they're keeping it under wraps. If people see their livelihoods disappearing, the backlash could be severe. It's smarter to prepare for these outcomes rather than wait for civil unrest to escalate.
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